Cuba–US — Aroma de Cuba

Trump's Two-Pronged Strategy Toward Cuba: Pressure & Secret Contacts

Thu, 09 Apr 2026 17:19:00 GMT

The administration of Donald Trump is carrying out a complex “two-pronged strategy” toward Cuba that seeks to force political change on the island while keeping communication channels open. According to recent reports, Washington alternates between visible economic pressure and discrete negotiations that point directly at the removal of Miguel Díaz-Canel from power.

A Pincer of Pressure and Dialogue

On one hand, the White House has intensified the energy blockade, hindering the arrival of fuel to an island already punished by systemic blackouts. Threats of possible military intervention or a direct takeover of Cuban infrastructure are part of the public rhetoric from Trump, who has gone as far as declaring that Cuba is “next” on his list of priorities after resolving tensions in the Middle East.

However, behind the scenes, the reality is more nuanced. Both Washington and Havana have acknowledged the existence of high-level contacts. These exchanges have allowed, for example, humanitarian gestures or the specific softening of sanctions, such as the recent authorization for Russian oil tankers to unload at Cuban ports under a “case-by-case” review policy.

The Objective of Regime Change

The core of these negotiations, according to sources close to the process cited by outlets such as The New York Times and El País, is to get the current leadership of the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) to step aside for a transition process. The pressure is specifically focused on Miguel Díaz-Canel, whose resignation is seen by Washington as an indispensable condition for any real normalization of relations or the definitive lifting of the embargo.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. What consists of Trump’s two-pronged strategy? It consists of applying maximum economic sanctions and public pressure while maintaining secret negotiations to broker a political transition on the island.

2. What role does the energy embargo play? The blockade on oil arrivals is currently the strongest tool of pressure, exacerbating the electrical crisis in Cuba to force the government to negotiate.

3. Are both countries acknowledging these contacts? Yes, both U.S. officials and the Havana government have admitted that there are active communication channels and bilateral dialogues.

4. What is the primary demand of the United States? The primary reported demand is the exit of Miguel Díaz-Canel from power and the beginning of deep political reforms.

Sources: The New York Times, El País, BBC News Mundo.

U.S. Democrats Visit Cuba Over Migration Warning

Tue, 07 Apr 2026 22:46:00 GMT

Two US Democratic congresspeople, Pramila Jayapal and Jonathan Jackson, visited Cuba last week to assess firsthand the impact of the oil embargo imposed by the Trump administration. Their message was stark: without a diplomatic solution, the United States will face a massive migration crisis from the island.

First Congressional Visit of 2026

This marked the first congressional delegation to travel to Cuba in 2026, amid unprecedented tensions between both countries. The lawmakers described their five-day trip as a mission to “see the suffering that is happening on the ground” as a result of what they called “an illegal blockade of energy supplies.”

The visit included meetings with President Miguel Díaz-Canel, Cuban lawmakers, and top officials from the Foreign Ministry. Jackson, who has a long history of interest in Cuban affairs, was blunt in his assessment: “This is the most sanctioned part of Planet Earth right now, just 90 miles off our shores.”

Warning of Mass Migration

The most alarming element of the congresspeople’s statements was their warning about the migratory consequences of the current approach. “We can either help (the Cuban) people stay at home and live a healthy normal life, or there’s going to be a huge migration coming towards the United States,” Jackson declared. “People will not simply stay here, suffer and die.”

This prediction takes on special relevance considering that Cuba is already experiencing one of the worst economic crises in its modern history, exacerbated by daily power outages and shortages of medicines and basic foods.

Human Cost of the Embargo

The lawmakers reported visiting oncology units and maternity wards in Havana hospitals that have been particularly hard hit by the fuel blockade. Jayapal, a prominent figure in the progressive wing of the Democratic Party, expressed her sadness at the deteriorated conditions they witnessed.

The oil embargo, implemented by Trump in February, has threatened tariffs on countries providing oil to Cuba, including Mexico’s state-owned Pemex. However, Trump recently allowed a Russian tanker to deliver 700,000 barrels of desperately needed crude oil.

Call for Dialogue

Both lawmakers confirmed that preliminary conversations have begun between the two governments, though they acknowledged these have not yet reached the level of formal negotiations. “There has been dialogue - the beginnings of dialogue,” Jayapal explained. “I think there is a desire to ensure that there is a real negotiation about what needs to happen in order for the situation to change.”

The congresspeople announced they would continue pushing for legislation to prevent armed conflict with Cuba and to lift sanctions they consider ineffective.

Context of Escalated Tensions

The visit comes amid increasingly aggressive statements from Trump, who recently said he expected to have the “honor” of “taking Cuba in some form” and that he “can do anything I want” with the neighboring country. These threats have elevated tensions to levels not seen since the 1962 Missile Crisis.

The lawmakers praised what they described as recent goodwill gestures from Cuba, suggesting there exists a window of opportunity for diplomacy before the situation deteriorates further.

Migration Precedents

Cuba has a history of mass exodus during times of severe economic crisis. The Mariel boatlift of 1980 brought 125,000 Cubans to US shores, while the 1994 “balsero” crisis saw over 35,000 Cubans attempt the dangerous journey across the Florida Straits. Both events were triggered by economic collapse and political tensions similar to current conditions.

Frequently Asked Questions

Preguntas frecuentes

Why do Democratic lawmakers consider the oil embargo illegal?

The congresspeople argue that blocking energy supplies constitutes a unilateral measure that lacks international legal basis and causes unnecessary humanitarian suffering to the Cuban civilian population.

How realistic is the warning about a massive migration crisis?

Given that Cuba is already experiencing its worst economic crisis in decades and that historically, island crises have generated mass exoduses (as in 1980 and 1994), the warning has solid historical foundations.

What power do these lawmakers have to change Cuba policy?

As House Representatives, they can introduce legislation, influence public opinion, and pressure the executive branch, though final foreign policy decisions rest with President Trump.

How has the Trump administration responded to this visit?

So far there has been no official White House response, though Trump has maintained his aggressive rhetoric toward Cuba in recent statements.

Sources consulted:

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Cuba and Russia reactivate railway modernization project

Tue, 07 Apr 2026 12:07:00 GMT

The government of Russia and the authorities of Cuba have confirmed their readiness to reactivate and seek alternative funding sources for the ambitious project to restore the railway network on the island. Following a recent meeting at the International Forum on Transport and Logistics, representatives from both countries outlined the next steps to rescue infrastructure that is vital for the struggling Cuban economy.

A strategic project on pause

The modernization of the Cuban railway system is not a new topic, but it is one that has faced constant financial hurdles. In 2019, a comprehensive contract valued at nearly 1 billion euros was signed, which included track repairs, the creation of a unified traffic management center, and training for Cuban personnel by specialists from RZD International. However, external factors and the economic crisis in both countries slowed down the implementation.

Search for alternative financing

Facing international banking restrictions and the pressure of sanctions, the Russian Deputy Transport Minister, Alexander Poshivay, and his Cuban counterpart, Marcos Antonio Bermúdez de la Torre, agreed that the current priority is to establish financial mechanisms that allow the flow of resources without external interference. This includes the potential use of local currencies or payment systems that bypass the US dollar circuit.

Expected impact on mobility and economy

The railway system in Cuba is essential for moving heavy cargo, such as sugar, cement, and fuel, as well as being a more affordable passenger transportation option compared to bus services.

Fuel distribution: Track improvements would allow for more efficient movement of diesel and fueloil tankers from ports to thermal power plants.
Passenger transport: The recovery of long-distance trains would alleviate the public transport crisis affecting thousands of citizens.

FAQ: Railway Modernization in Cuba

Which Russian company is in charge of the project?

RZD International has been the main partner in previous agreements for track modernization and railway traffic management.

How much money is estimated for the restoration?

Original agreements were valued at approximately 1 billion euros, though current figures could be adjusted based on the new alternative financing plan.

Why is the railway important for Cuba’s economy?

It is the most efficient means for large-scale goods transportation and essential raw materials for national industry and energy supply.

When will results be seen?

While political will is present, the speed of progress will depend on how quickly the new alternative financing scheme is finalized.

Cuba faces energy collapse: Massive blackouts in April 2026
Russia delivers new shipment of oil to Cuba
Cuba projects economic stagnation in 2026
Transport crisis in Cuba: Government measures
New Russian investments in the Cuban automotive sector

Sources: spanish.news-pravda.com, Cubadebate, Diario de Cuba.

Cuba to Release Over 2,000 Prisoners Amid US Pressure

Sun, 05 Apr 2026 12:34:00 GMT

The Government of Cuba has announced one of the largest prisoner releases in years, confirming that 2,010 people will be set free in the coming days. This move comes in a context of extreme economic hardship and renewed diplomatic and trade pressure from the administration of President Donald Trump in the United States.

A Gesture in the Middle of the Storm

While the official announcement does not directly link the release to Washington’s demands, international observers suggest it is a strategy by the Havana regime to ease international tensions or reduce the operating costs of an overcrowded prison system during the island’s worst economic crisis in decades.

Among those benefiting from this measure are expected to be both common prisoners for minor offenses and some detainees related to social protests, although the official breakdown of prisoner categories has not yet been fully disclosed.

Pressure from Washington

The Trump administration has maintained a hardline stance toward Cuba, tightening the embargo and conditioning any relief on significant changes regarding human rights and democracy. The energy crisis, marked by blackouts of over 20 hours in several provinces, has exacerbated social discontent, putting the Cuban Government in a defensive position.

Impact on Cuban Society

For the families of the detainees, the news brings a mix of relief and caution. Human rights organizations inside and outside the island are closely monitoring whether key opposition figures and 11J protesters are included in this amnesty list or if it consists mainly of common crime.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

How many prisoners will be released in Cuba?

The Cuban government announced that a total of 2,010 prisoners will benefit from this release measure.

Are these political or common prisoners?

The initial announcement suggests a mix, although these mass releases traditionally include a majority of common offenses. Confirmation of the inclusion of political prisoners is expected.

Why is Cuba releasing prisoners now?

Experts point to suffocating economic pressure, the tightening of US policies under Donald Trump, and the need to reduce state spending on the prison system.

What is the current situation between Cuba and the US?

Relations are at a high point of tension, with a reinforced embargo and a humanitarian crisis on the island that has skyrocketed migration to the north.

Cuba now requires permission to install solar panels
Energy crisis in Cuba: 20-hour blackouts
Cuba-US Relations under the Trump Administration
Economic Impact on Cuban MSMEs
Cost of Living and Scarcity in Havana 2026

Sources: CNN, Periódico Cubano

Marco Rubio Announces New Actions Against Cuban Regime

Sat, 04 Apr 2026 20:36:00 GMT

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has sent a strong warning to the Havana regime, stating that the Donald Trump administration is finalizing a package of new coordinated actions in response to what he described as a “dysfunctional system in serious trouble.”

During a recent interview, the official emphasized that there will be no economic relief or normalization of relations without real political transformation on the island. “We’ll have news pretty soon,” Rubio said, making it clear that the maximum pressure policy will intensify in the coming days in response to domestic repression and the collapse of the Cuban economy.

Key Points of Marco Rubio’s Statements:

End of Ambiguity: The United States will not consider unilateral concessions that benefit the military elite of the GAESA conglomerate.
Focus on Human Rights: The new measures would be linked to the recent wave of repression following mass protests over blackouts.
Financial Isolation: A tightening of control over remittances and transactions that sustain the state apparatus is expected.

Rubio’s arrival at the State Department marks the beginning of a “zero tolerance” era toward the Cuban government, moving decisively away from the opening policies of previous administrations. Experts suggest that the “news soon” announcement could refer to the reactivation of specific titles of the Helms-Burton Act or new designations in the restricted entities list.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. What do these “new actions” mean for the average Cuban? While Rubio claims the measures aim to pressure the regime, historically these actions have impacted the flow of currency and basic supplies, worsening shortages on the island in the short term.

2. Is there any chance of dialogue between Washington and Havana? Under the current administration, dialogue is conditional on the unconditional release of all political prisoners and the calling of free, internationally supervised elections.

3. How has the Cuban government reacted? Through official spokespersons like Humberto López, the regime has described these warnings as “economic genocide” and a violation of national sovereignty.

4. What role does oil play in this sanctions scenario? The U.S. has intensified monitoring of tankers carrying crude from Russia and Venezuela, closing loopholes that allowed the Cuban government to bypass the energy blockade.

Related Sources:

Trump’s Dual Strategy for Cuba: Pressure and Negotiations

Sat, 04 Apr 2026 12:18:00 GMT

The political relationship between Washington and Havana has reached a new level of complexity under Donald Trump’s administration. While the U.S. president reinforces his “maximum pressure” rhetoric, publicizing that “Cuba is next,” behind-the-scenes negotiations are underway to prevent an uncontrollable humanitarian crisis that could lead to a massive exodus of migrants.

This week, despite threats of additional sanctions on nations supplying oil to the island, a Russian tanker was allowed to enter Cuban waters and deliver fuel. Diplomatic sources suggest this move is part of a “life support” strategy for the island’s precarious economy, with future shipments to be decided on a “case-by-case” basis.

The “Two-Track” Approach

Current White House policy appears to be split into two clear fronts:

Public Toughness: Trump uses confrontational language to appeal to his voter base in South Florida, particularly during recent summits in Miami like FII Priority.
Risk Management: Washington is well aware that a total blackout or a collapse in the food supply in Cuba would spike irregular migration figures at the U.S. southern border.

Reactions from Congress and the Cuban Government

A group of 52 Democratic lawmakers has urged the president to end the blockade, arguing that the economic strangulation policy has failed in its political objectives and only deepened the misery of the Cuban people. For its part, the island’s government denounces what it calls an “erratic” foreign policy that keeps the population in constant uncertainty.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. What does Trump mean by “Cuba is next”? It is a phrase the president uses to indicate that after his actions against other geopolitical adversaries, Cuba will be the primary focus of his regime-change strategy.

2. Why was Russian oil allowed to enter despite sanctions? It is interpreted as a measure to prevent the total energy collapse of Cuba, which could trigger a massive migrant crisis that the U.S. wishes to avoid.

3. What role does South Florida play in this policy? The Cuban-American community in Florida is a key voting bloc for Trump, which largely explains the aggressive rhetoric and high-profile economic sanctions.

4. What are Democratic lawmakers calling for? They are calling for the lifting of “maximum pressure” sanctions, claiming they have not achieved democratic reforms and instead punish Cuban civilians.

Sources: El País, La Jornada, BBC Mundo.

Cuba Begins Releasing 2,000 Prisoners Under U.S. Pressure

Fri, 03 Apr 2026 23:05:00 GMT

The Cuban government on Friday began the release of 2,010 prisoners, a move announced as a “humanitarian and sovereign gesture.” However, the international context suggests this decision is heavily influenced by the economic asphyxiation and diplomatic tensions with the Donald Trump administration in the United States.

This massive release is one of the most significant in the last decade on the island and comes just weeks after a similar Vatican-mediated release involving a smaller group of detainees.

A Gesture Amidst Crisis

The decision was officially communicated by Cuba’s Council of State. While emphasizing its humanitarian nature, analysts point out that the measure aims to alleviate international pressure at a time when the Cuban economy is facing its worst crisis in decades, characterized by constant blackouts and severe shortages of food and fuel.

The Trump administration has maintained a maximum pressure policy toward Havana, tightening the embargo and conditioning any dialogue on progress in human rights and political freedoms.

Who Are the Ones Being Released?

According to preliminary reports:

The group includes women, young people, and the elderly with health issues.
Those convicted of violent crimes, terrorism, or drug trafficking have been excluded.
Uncertainty remains regarding how many of those considered “political prisoners” by human rights organizations are included in this list of 2,010 names.

Calls from the Opposition and the International Community

Organizations like Amnesty International and human rights defenders within Cuba insist that everyone detained for exercising freedom of expression should be released unconditionally. Meanwhile, in Miami, diaspora leaders view the move as an “image-cleansing” strategy ahead of potential new sanctions from Washington.

For many Cubans closely following the island’s reality, this news brings a mix of relief for the families being reunited and skepticism about the country’s political future.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

How many prisoners is Cuba releasing in total?

The government announced the release of 2,010 prisoners, a notable number compared to previous gestures.

Are political prisoners included in this release?

While the government does not use the term “political prisoner,” some participants from past protests are expected to be in the group, though official lists have not been fully released by independent sources.

Why is this release happening now?

It stems from a combination of factors: an internal economic crisis, diplomatic pressure from the Trump administration, and the need to project a humanitarian gesture to the international community.

Which crimes are excluded from this measure?

Individuals convicted of murder, rape, violent pederasty, drug trafficking, and crimes against state security (terrorism) are not eligible.

Sources: BBC News Mundo, CNN, [Cuban National News].

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Cuba announces massive pardon for 2,010 prisoners amidst crisis

Fri, 03 Apr 2026 18:49:00 GMT

The Cuban government surprised observers this Friday with the announcement of a massive pardon for 2,010 sanctioned individuals, a measure described by the official newspaper Granma as a “humanitarian and sovereign gesture.” However, the news has been met with skepticism by human rights organizations and the opposition, who question whether political prisoners will be included in this benefit.

An Announcement Under Suspicion

According to the official note from the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC), the decision was made as part of the process of prison benefits established by law and the Constitution. However, it was clarified that those convicted of violent crimes, sexual crimes, or “crimes against authority” are excluded. This last category is frequently used by the regime to prosecute peaceful protesters, suggesting that many prisoners of conscience may not be favored.

The announcement comes at a time of political and social tension, marked by constant blackouts and a deep energy crisis. Additionally, it occurs weeks after the government agreed with the Vatican to release a small group of 51 political prisoners, of which only a portion has been freed to date.

The Context of the Energy Crisis

Many analysts see this pardon as an attempt to alleviate internal pressure. Cuba is currently facing a critical energy deficit, although this week a Russian ship arrived with 700,000 barrels of oil, with a second shipment on its way from Moscow.

Key points of the story:

Number: 2,010 inmates will benefit.
Exclusions: Violent crimes, sexual crimes, and “crimes against authority.”
Precedent: Follows a previous agreement with the Vatican to release 51 political prisoners.
Context: Announced amidst indirect negotiations between Havana and Washington.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. Who will benefit from the pardon?

The benefit reaches 2,010 sanctioned people under criteria of “good conduct” and other legal benefits, according to the government.

2. Does this pardon include the 11J political prisoners?

There is no official confirmation. The exclusions for “crimes against authority” suggest that a large part of the July 11, 2021, protesters could be left out.

3. What role does the Vatican play in this?

Although the Granma announcement presents it as a sovereign decision, it follows intense efforts by the Holy See for the release of political prisoners on the island.

4. When will the releases take effect?

The first 20 prisoners have already been released as a gesture for Holy Week, and the rest of the process is expected to be completed in the coming days.

Russia sends oil to Cuba amid energy crisis
U.S. pressures for economic changes on the island
Protests in Morón over prolonged blackouts
Human rights situation in Cuba 2026
Agreement between Havana and the Vatican

Sources: El Mundo, Granma, AFP.

Russia-Cuba Military Cooperation Intensifies in 2026

Thu, 02 Apr 2026 18:48:00 GMT

The strategic relationship between Moscow and Havana has taken a decisive turn in the early months of 2026. Following the expiration of the final nuclear arms control treaty between the United States and Russia, reports of advanced military equipment being present on the island have raised alarms in Washington.

Secret Flights and Defense Agreements

Recent reports from civil aviation and independent media have documented the landing of Russian Il-76 cargo aircraft at Cuban military airports. These movements coincide with the ratification of a military cooperation agreement signed in March 2025, which includes not only the delivery of military hardware but also joint exercises and high-level technical consultancy.

The Russian State Duma has revived the proposal to station long-range missiles in Cuba and Venezuela as a strategic response to NATO actions in Europe. Although official confirmation of nuclear warheads is absent, Russian “military consultancy” on Cuban soil is now more visible than at any time since the Cold War.

Geopolitical Impact

For the Cuban government, Moscow’s backing is a lifeline in the midst of a total energy crisis. According to analysts, the Kremlin uses its influence in the Caribbean to pressure the U.S. administration, led once again by Donald Trump, on the global chessboard that includes the conflict in Ukraine.

Uncertainty about the type of weaponry transferred keeps the region on edge. While Cuba claims this is merely technological modernization for national defense, the international community observes with concern the return of a confrontational rhetoric directly in the United States’ “backyard.”

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. Are there currently Russian missiles in Cuba? The deployment of long-range missiles with warheads has not been officially confirmed, but deliveries of “unspecified military material” and the presence of Russian technicians have been detected.

2. What is the U. States’ stance on these movements? Washington views any expansion of Russian military presence in the Western Hemisphere as a direct provocation and has warned of diplomatic and economic consequences.

3. Why is Cuba accepting this cooperation now? The country is facing a desperate economic and energy situation. Russia offers fuel and logistical support in exchange for a strategic presence in the region.

4. Is this similar to the 1962 Missile Crisis? While the rhetoric is similar, the technological context has changed. Analysts suggest this is more of a geopolitical “bargaining chip” than an intention for an imminent attack.

Sources: El Confidencial Digital, Diario de Cuba.

Guyana Becomes New Cuban Migration Route - IOM Report

Thu, 02 Apr 2026 17:06:00 GMT

Cuban migration patterns are undergoing a historic transformation, with Guyana emerging as a strategic gateway to South America, according to a recent report from the International Organization for Migration (IOM).

The analysis, covering January 2025 to February 2026, reveals a significant shift in traditional Cuban migration routes, with South America increasingly becoming a final destination rather than just a corridor to the United States.

Guyana: New Visa-Free Entry Point

IOM data shows that Cubans are taking advantage of Guyana’s visa-free policy to enter the country, using it as a strategic point before crossing into Brazil, specifically to the northern state of Roraima.

“These trends show that Latin America is no longer just a corridor for Cuban migrants, but is increasingly becoming their intended home,” explained María Moita, IOM Regional Director for Latin America and the Caribbean.

Brazil Triples Regular Cuban Entries

Statistics reveal exponential growth:

2024: 2,100 Cubans arrived in Brazil through regular channels
2025: The figure skyrocketed to 6,400 people
No month in 2025 recorded a negative Cuban migration balance

Migrants typically enter through Venezuela or Guyana where no visa is required, before crossing into Brazil’s northern state of Roraima.

Central American Routes in Dramatic Decline

While South America gains prominence, traditional northbound routes show a dramatic 75% drop:

Honduras

2024: 64,000 Cubans entered irregularly from Nicaragua
2025: Only 17,000 arrivals
First two months of 2026: Mere 1,500 arrivals

Guatemala

All surveyed Cubans identified economic reasons as the main driver for leaving their country.

Uruguay Doubles Its Migration Balance

The small South American nation also shows upward trends:

2024: Monthly average of 500 Cubans
2025: Over 1,200 Cubans per month

Costa Rica: Final Destination for 94%

In a survey conducted in January and February 2026 among Cubans in Costa Rica, 94% expressed intention to remain in the country, citing better economic conditions, political stability, and access to international protection.

Factors Driving the Change

Energy Crisis in Cuba

CNN recently reported that Cuba is experiencing the most profound moment of economic uncertainty in decades. The Trump administration has cut oil flow to the island through:

Military actions in Venezuela
Tariff threats on Mexico
Isolation of potential fuel suppliers

Route Diversification

Migrants no longer depend exclusively on traditional overland corridors, but are also traveling by air to South America, taking advantage of more flexible migration policies.

Implications for Migration Policies

IOM uses its Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM), the most comprehensive human mobility data infrastructure in Latin America and the Caribbean, operating in more than 20 countries.

This information allows governments to:

Design evidence-based migration policies
Coordinate regional migration governance mechanisms
Plan humanitarian responses

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Guyana becoming a preferred route? Guyana doesn’t require visas for Cuban citizens, facilitating legal access. From there, they can move to Brazil or other South American countries.

What’s causing the decline in Central American routes? More restrictive policies under the Trump administration, combined with better opportunities in South America, have redirected migration flows southward.

What’s the current situation of Cuba’s economy? Cuba faces its worst energy crisis in decades, with oil supply cuts and lack of allies willing to provide the hundreds of millions needed to maintain the economy.

Do Cuban migrants plan to stay in South America permanently? Data suggests yes. In Costa Rica, 94% expressed intention to remain, while Brazil and Uruguay show consistently positive migration balances.

For more information about migration routes and asylum policies, check our related articles on USCIS and asylum procedures, CBP One program, and legal resources for Cubans.

Sources: International Organization for Migration (IOM), Kaieteur News, CNN

Trump Demands Removal of Díaz-Canel as Negotiating Condition

Thu, 02 Apr 2026 15:36:00 GMT

The Donald Trump administration has hardened its stance toward the Havana regime, leaking reports that suggest the removal of Miguel Díaz-Canel from the presidency is now a non-negotiable condition for any sanctions relief or future bilateral agreement.

Washington’s Demand

According to sources close to the negotiations cited by international media, U.S. officials have communicated to their Cuban counterparts that there will be no significant progress as long as the current leadership remains in power. This strategy seeks to force an internal transition within the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC) in the face of the economic asphyxiation the country is experiencing.

The “ultimatum” comes at a time of total energy crisis and critical food shortages, factors that Washington is using as leverage. The White House maintains that mismanagement of infrastructure and the economy by the current government is the primary cause of the collapse, rather than external sanctions alone.

Reaction in Havana

So far, the official response from Cuba has been one of total rejection of what they consider an “unacceptable interference” in their internal affairs. However, analysts suggest that unprecedented economic pressure could be generating internal debates about the viability of the current model and the need for profound structural reforms that satisfy some of Washington’s demands.

What’s Next for the Bilateral Relationship?

Cuba’s future hangs by a thread between the ideological resistance of the ruling elite and the desperation of a population facing constant blackouts and hunger. The Trump administration seems to be banking on an imminent collapse or a negotiated handover of power.

FAQ

1. What exactly is the U.S. government asking for? They are demanding the removal of Miguel Díaz-Canel and significant changes in the Cuban political system toward a representative democracy.

2. How does this affect current sanctions? Sanctions remain in place and could even be tightened if the changes requested by Washington do not occur.

3. What is the role of the energy crisis in these negotiations? Washington uses the collapse of the electrical system as proof of the regime’s “incompetence” to press for a change in leadership.

4. Is there international support for Trump’s stance? Several regional allies view the strategy with caution, while other exile groups in Miami push for an even more aggressive position.

Sources:

Trump's Oil Embargo on Cuba Sparks Fears of New Mass Migration Wave

Mon, 30 Mar 2026 19:54:00 GMT

The oil embargo imposed by the Trump administration on Cuba has plunged the island into the worst energy crisis in its modern history, generating blackouts lasting up to 20 hours and devastating humanitarian conditions that threaten to unleash a new massive migration wave toward the United States and neighboring countries.

Cuba Without Oil for Three Consecutive Months

Since Trump announced the total oil embargo on January 29, Cuba has not received a single fuel shipment for three months. The measure, which threatens severe tariffs on any country exporting oil to the island, has ended the subsidized Venezuelan shipments that kept Cuba’s economy afloat since the early 2000s.

“The Cuban government is about to run out of oil—the supply it has left could last days or weeks,” warns a Foreign Policy analysis.

The resulting energy crisis has paralyzed transportation, canceled hospital surgeries, and left millions without consistent electricity and water supply.

Nightly Protests in Havana

Popular desperation has begun manifesting in nightly protests across different Havana neighborhoods, where people bang pots and shout slogans like “We’ve had enough,” “Freedom,” and “Put the lights back on.”

The demonstrations, unusual in a country known for repressing dissent, reflect the population’s exhaustion with a life where using a bathroom, cooking rice, or taking a bus have become luxuries.

Alarming Humanitarian Conditions

According to researchers who have studied Cuban poverty for 30 years, the island’s situation is critical:

40% of the population lives in extreme poverty
Widespread malnutrition, especially among elderly and children
Many people survive on a single meal per day
Infant mortality rates have increased over the past five years
2.5 million Cubans (24% of the population) have emigrated since 2021

Basic Services Crisis

The fuel shortage has created a devastating domino effect:

Hospitals cancel surgeries and relocate patients to maximize capacity
Universities closed and school schedules reduced
Garbage collection paralyzed for years, causing dengue and chikungunya outbreaks
Public transportation nonexistent, forcing people to use bicycles and modified electric scooters

Military Preparations in Florida

Fearing a massive exodus, Florida authorities and Southern Command have deployed forces to prevent a repeat of the 1994 rafters crisis. Guantanamo Naval Base has been reactivated as a logistical hub, with capacity to accommodate tens of thousands of migrants.

The official message is clear: “Those who attempt to illegally enter the United States by sea will be detained and returned,” warned the Coast Guard.

Ongoing Negotiations but No Clarity

While conversations between the Trump administration and the Cuban government are confirmed, details remain secret. Secretary of State Marco Rubio has suggested pressure could be eased if Cuba liberalized its centralized economy, but such concessions would likely be unacceptable to Cuban-American sectors advocating for complete regime change.

Meanwhile, the Cuban government, known for its resistance to external dictates, appears to be buying time amid the crisis.

Humanitarian Aid as Alternative

The “Nuestra América” convoy is in the process of delivering over 20 tons of critical supplies to Cuba, including medicines, food, baby formula, and solar panels.

“We’re beginning to come to grips with the fact that there will be mothers and children and elderly and sick people who will die simply as a result of this senseless and cruel and criminal policy,” declared David Adler, coordinator of Progressive International.

Cubans Between Survival and Hope

On Havana’s streets, citizens are creatively adapting to the crisis. A man in the town of Aguacate modified his 1980 Fiat Polski to run on charcoal, the same fuel many now use for cooking.

Camila Hernández, 21, canceled her birthday party at home due to lack of electricity and celebrated by walking along the Paseo del Prado, cooled by sea breeze.

“The U.S. is trying to punish the Cuban government, but it’s the people who are suffering,” summarized Rolando, a customer at a Havana bar during a blackout.

Prelude to a New Migration Crisis?

Experts warn that a total economic collapse generating a humanitarian disaster 90 miles from Florida’s coast would harm everyone involved. With maritime crossings increasing 340% and alternative routes closed, Cuba could face its largest exodus since the 1990s.

The question resonating in Washington, Havana, and Miami is: can diplomatic negotiations prevent a humanitarian catastrophe before it’s too late?

Frequently Asked Questions

How long has Cuba been without oil?
Cuba has not received any oil shipments for three months, since Trump announced the total embargo on January 29, 2026.

How severe are the blackouts in Cuba?
Blackouts last up to 20 hours in Havana and even longer in the provinces, with three island-wide power outages in recent weeks.

Are there negotiations between the US and Cuba?
Yes, conversations between the Trump administration and Cuban government members are confirmed, though details remain confidential.

What military preparations has the US made?
Florida and Southern Command have deployed preventive forces, and Guantanamo Naval Base has been reactivated with capacity for tens of thousands of migrants.

What is the humanitarian impact of the embargo?
40% of the population lives in extreme poverty, there’s widespread malnutrition, and basic services like hospitals and transportation are collapsing.

What humanitarian aid is reaching Cuba?
The “Nuestra América” convoy is delivering over 20 tons of medicines, food and supplies, and a Russian tanker with 750,000 barrels of crude is crossing the Atlantic.

Sources

Russian Satellites in Cuba: Communication or Radar Espionage?

Mon, 30 Mar 2026 18:36:00 GMT

The technological and geopolitical landscape in Cuba is undergoing a significant shift. The recent deployment of the first satellites from the Russian Rassvet constellation—an ambitious project by Bureau 1440 to compete with Starlink—has sparked concerns about the true nature of space cooperation between Moscow and Havana.

What is the Rassvet Project?

The Rassvet constellation aims to provide global high-speed internet, bypassing Western infrastructure. For Cuba, a country struggling with poor internet connectivity, this is framed as a technological lifeline. However, intelligence analysts suggest that the deployment involves much more than simple internet terminals.

Espionage Suspicions on the Island

U.S. Space Force officials have expressed concerns about potential ground stations being installed in Cuba. These facilities would not only manage Rassvet’s data traffic but could also serve as centers for signal interception and monitoring of American satellites.

“The ‘alternative regulations’ mentioned in previous agreements between the two countries suggest military or intelligence use that goes beyond civilian navigation,” security experts point out.

The Resurgence of Russian Influence

The arrival of this technology comes at a time of peak tension, where the Russian presence in the Caribbean seems to be returning to levels not seen in decades. While the Cuban regime portrays it as a victory for digital sovereignty, for the region, it represents a new challenge in the technological Cold War of the 21st century.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. What is Bureau 1440?
It is the Russian company responsible for developing the Rassvet constellation to offer global satellite internet.

2. How does this benefit Cuba?
It potentially offers a high-speed connection alternative independent of submarine cables and U.S. restrictions.

3. Is there evidence of espionage bases?
While Russia and Cuba deny it, experts highlight the technical requirement for ground stations for such constellations.

4. Is it compatible with Starlink?
No; it is a direct competitor using proprietary Russian technology and standards.

Ecuador expels Cuban ambassador: crisis worsens migration

Mon, 30 Mar 2026 18:07:00 GMT

Ecuador declared Cuban ambassador Basilio Gutiérrez persona non grata on March 4, 2026, escalating diplomatic tensions while the Cuban migration crisis intensifies under Trump’s policies. This diplomatic expulsion occurs amid secret negotiations between the United States and Cuba, where Trump threatens “regime change” while maintaining an oil blockade that has plunged the island into 16 daily hours of blackouts.

Quito’s decision comes at a critical moment for 300,000 Cubans in legal limbo in the United States, as traditional migration routes close one by one. Ecuador had served as a transit point for thousands of Cuban migrants heading to the United States, but this diplomatic crisis could shut another escape route for those fleeing the energy and economic crisis.

Regional Diplomatic Crisis

Ambassador Gutiérrez’s expulsion represents the latest episode of deterioration in relations between Latin American countries and the Cuban government. According to Reuters sources, the measure coincides with the hardening of US policy toward Cuba under the second Trump administration.

Marco Rubio, Secretary of State and National Security Advisor, leads conversations with Cuban representatives while Washington seeks the removal of Miguel Díaz-Canel from power. Reports suggest Trump is considering a model similar to that implemented in Venezuela, where he overthrew Nicolás Maduro in January 2026.

“Ecuador has made this sovereign decision in response to actions incompatible with diplomatic function,” declared a source from Ecuador’s Foreign Ministry, without providing specific details about the reasons for the expulsion.

Impact on Migration Routes

The diplomatic crisis has direct implications for Cuban migration flows. Ecuador had become a crucial corridor for migrants seeking alternatives to traditional routes through Mexico and Central America, especially after Nicaragua’s closure as a transit point.

With 427 Cuban deportations in 2026 alone, a record under Trump, and the suspension of the CHNV humanitarian parole program that benefited 75,000 Cubans, options for legal migration are dramatically reduced.

“Every country that closes its diplomatic doors with Cuba means fewer options for families seeking reunification,” explains a migration expert who requested anonymity. “Cubans are being trapped between internal crisis and restrictive regional policies.”

Secret Negotiations and Geopolitical Pressure

According to the New York Times and USA Today, Trump is demanding Díaz-Canel’s removal in exchange for easing sanctions and refraining from taking action against the Castro family. The negotiations, led by Rubio, allegedly involve Raul Guillermo Rodríguez Castro, known as “The Crab,” Raúl Castro’s grandson and key figure in the talks.

The Trump administration has imposed a de facto oil blockade that has reduced Cuba’s energy supply by 90%, leaving the population without electricity for 16 hours daily. This “economic war,” as international critics call it, has caused a 340% increase in risky maritime crossings to the United States.

“Trump can do ‘anything I want’ with Cuba,” declared the US president, suggesting options ranging from economic pressure to direct military intervention.

Humanitarian Consequences

The Ecuadorian ambassador’s expulsion worsens a humanitarian crisis already affecting millions of Cubans. With more than one million Cuban citizens who have emigrated since 2021 -representing 10% of the population- and increasingly limited migration routes, families face prolonged separations.

Cubans deported to third countries like Mexico live in “stateless limbo,” according to humanitarian organization reports. In Tapachula, hundreds of deported Cubans survive in precarious conditions, without documents to return to Cuba or legal options to continue to the United States.

The energy crisis in Cuba has turned daily life into a struggle for survival, with shortages of food, medicine, and basic services. The 16-hour daily blackouts have paralyzed hospitals, schools, and economic activity, creating unsustainable migration pressures.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did Ecuador expel the Cuban ambassador? Ecuador declared ambassador Basilio Gutiérrez persona non grata on March 4, 2026, citing “actions incompatible with diplomatic function,” although it did not reveal specific details about the causes.

How does this crisis affect Cuban migrants? The diplomatic expulsion reduces transit options for Cuban migrants who used Ecuador as a corridor to the United States, worsening the migration crisis with 300,000 Cubans already in legal limbo.

What role does Trump play in Cuba-Ecuador negotiations? Trump maintains secret conversations with Cuba demanding Díaz-Canel’s removal, while imposing an oil blockade that has intensified Cuba’s internal crisis and regional tensions.

What are the alternatives for Cubans seeking to migrate? With the CHNV program suspension, route closures through Nicaragua, and now tensions with Ecuador, legal options are limited to asylum applications with suspended processing for 75 countries, including Cuba.

To stay informed about the Cuban migration crisis and its diplomatic developments, subscribe to our updates and follow our detailed analyses of Trump’s policies toward Cuba.

Cuba Refuses to Negotiate Miguel Díaz-Canel's Presidency with Trump

Sun, 29 Mar 2026 18:01:00 GMT

The Cuban government has sent a clear and unequivocal message to the Donald Trump administration: Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presidency is non-negotiable. Amid a tense dialogue process marked by the island’s economic crisis, Havana has reaffirmed its political sovereignty in the face of pressure from Washington.

A “Red Line” in Diplomacy

Recent statements from Cuban officials come as a response to proposals from the U.S. administration, which seeks to condition the easing of economic sanctions on structural changes in Cuba’s political leadership. For the Palace of the Revolution, any attempt to discuss who holds the presidency is considered direct interference in the country’s internal affairs.

The current scenario unfolds under the shadow of the greatest energy and economic crisis Cuba has experienced in decades, which has led to a series of protests in various regions of the country, including Santiago de Cuba and Havana.

Tension and Negotiation Under Trump

Donald Trump, who recently expressed optimism about reaching a “great deal” with Cuba, faces a counterpart that refuses to yield on what it calls its “self-determination.” Meanwhile, the Cuban power grid continues to show signs of collapse, increasing the urgency of a solution that alleviates fuel shortages.

On the other hand, the international community watches with caution. Countries like Russia and Mexico have sent humanitarian and energy aid, while the U.S. maintains strict restrictions on the import of Russian oil by the island.

An Uncertain Future

The refusal to negotiate Díaz-Canel’s position tests Trump’s “maximum pressure” strategy. With the economy on the edge of the abyss and a population exhausted by blackouts, the coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether both countries can find common ground or if the confrontation will deepen.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. Why does Cuba refuse to negotiate Miguel Díaz-Canel’s position?
Cuba considers the election of its president to be a sovereign act protected by its constitution and that discussing it with a foreign power violates the principles of self-determination.

2. What is Donald Trump’s stance toward Cuba in 2026?
Trump has shown a mix of extreme pressure rhetoric with the open possibility of a commercial and diplomatic deal, provided certain conditions imposed by his administration are met.

3. How does this tension affect the energy crisis on the island?
The lack of a diplomatic agreement makes it difficult for Cuba to access stable credit and fuel supplies, prolonging blackouts and general shortages.

4. What role do Russia and Mexico play in this scenario?
Both countries act as strategic allies, providing fuel and technical aid to mitigate the collapse of the national power grid while Washington maintains its blockade.

This article includes information gathered from CNN en Español, BBC News Mundo, and international press reports regarding the 2026 Cuban crisis.

Mexico Continues Hiring Cuban Doctors Despite International Pressure

Sat, 28 Mar 2026 23:20:00 GMT

Mexico has reaffirmed its commitment to maintaining the hiring of Cuban doctors, a decision that places Claudia Sheinbaum’s government in a distinct position compared to other Latin American countries that have recently canceled similar agreements. Despite an intense diplomatic campaign by the United States to stop this practice, the Mexican administration defends the presence of specialists from the Island as a necessity for strengthening its public health system.

A Steadfast Ally for Medical Missions

While countries like Honduras, Guatemala, and Jamaica have reversed their medical cooperation agreements with Havana, Mexico stands firm. The Mexican Embassy in the United States has responded to criticism, stating that Cuban doctors on Mexican territory enjoy the same rights as any other worker and that their role is crucial in remote areas where national coverage is insufficient.

This stance carries not only health implications but also significant political weight in the regional arena. The export of professional services, particularly medical ones, remains the primary source of foreign currency for the Cuban government. Thus, Mexico’s support represents a vital economic lifeline for the Island amid its worst crisis in decades.

The Diplomatic Factor and U.S. Pressure

The continuation of this program occurs in a context of growing pressure from Washington, which frequently classifies these missions as a form of “human trafficking” due to the working conditions of the professionals and the high percentage of their salaries withheld by the Cuban state. However, Sheinbaum has made it clear that national sovereignty and health needs in Mexico take precedence over these external warnings.

It is estimated that thousands of Cuban specialists are currently deployed throughout various Mexican states, from general practitioners to specialists in critical fields, primarily participating in the IMSS-Bienestar program.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many Cuban doctors are currently in Mexico?

Although figures vary, it is estimated that there are over 2,500 Cuban medical professionals in Mexico, working in hospitals across the country.

Why have other countries canceled their contracts?

Countries like Guatemala and Honduras have cited international pressure and internal health system reviews as reasons for not renewing their agreements with Cuba.

What benefits does Cuba receive from this agreement?

The exchange is fundamental to the Cuban economy, as the state retains a substantial portion of the payment for the doctors’ services, which helps mitigate the direct lack of foreign exchange.

What is the official position of the United States on this?

The United States maintains its historical criticism of these brigades, arguing they violate international labor rights and serve as a propaganda and financing tool for the Cuban regime.

Sources

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Trump threatens regime change in Cuba: new migration era?

Wed, 25 Mar 2026 12:59:00 GMT

President Donald Trump’s threats to “take Cuba” have escalated dramatically in the past 48 hours, creating a new layer of uncertainty for 300,000 Cubans in legal limbo in the United States and raising serious questions about the future of migration policy toward the island.

Trump’s Rhetorical Escalation

During a Monday interview with NPR, Trump reiterated his intention to act against Cuba, declaring that the Caribbean nation is “vulnerable now” due to its energy and economic crisis. The statements coincide with reports that his administration is actively evaluating options for regime change.

According to YourNews sources, administration officials confirm that “regime change is lined up,” with policies designed to “increase pressure on Cuba’s government while exploring pathways to install leadership viewed as more favorable to U.S. interests.”

“Regime change is lined up,” an anonymous administration official revealed to YourNews.

Impact on the Cuban Migrant Community

Unprecedented Deportations

While Trump intensifies his rhetoric, deportations continue at record pace:

427 Cubans deported in 2026 (through March 19)
Most recent flight: 117 migrants on March 19
9 deportation flights from multiple regional countries

Massive Legal Limbo

The suspension of the CHNV humanitarian parole program has left hundreds of thousands of Cubans in precarious situations:

300,000 beneficiaries affected by program cancellation
Asylum applications frozen under new USCIS policy
75 countries included in the approval suspension

Geopolitical Context: Vulnerable Cuba

Unprecedented Energy Crisis

Cuba’s situation justifies, according to analysts, the perception of vulnerability mentioned by Trump:

16 hours daily of blackouts throughout the country
90% reduction in oil supplies due to blockade
340% increase in risky maritime crossings

Systematic Economic Pressure

New Yorker writer Jon Lee Anderson describes current conditions as “ideal for regime change,” citing:

Energy infrastructure collapse
Massive food and medicine shortages
Growing social unrest
Regional diplomatic isolation

What Options Is Washington Considering?

Military Scenarios

While Trump hasn’t detailed specific plans, experts identify several options under consideration:

Covert Operations: Support for internal opposition groups Humanitarian Intervention: Under the pretext of energy crisis Naval Blockade: Intensification of economic isolation

Diplomatic Alternatives

Cuba’s recent release of 51 political prisoners suggests the regime seeks to negotiate, but Trump’s conditions appear to be complete government change.

Impact on Migration Policies

For Cubans in the United States

Regime change threats create several scenarios for the Cuban community:

Scenario 1: Successful Change

Possible mass status regularization
End of deportations to Cuba
New “refugees from communism” policy

Scenario 2: Escalation Without Change

Continuation of record deportations
Greater pressure on legal limbo
Intensified ICE operations

Scenario 3: Humanitarian Crisis

Activation of Guantanamo contingency plans
30,000 beds prepared for new migration flows
Mass refugee processing

Cuban Exile Reactions

Cautious Support

Marco Rubio and other exile leaders have expressed support for pressure on Cuba, but without explicitly backing military options. The Cuban-American community remains divided between:

Hawks: Favor any action that ends the regime
Moderates: Prefer diplomatic and economic pressure
Recent families: Concerned about relatives on the island

Community Organizations on Alert

Groups like Make the Road NY warn that any military escalation could result in:

Greater targeting of Cubans as “national security” concerns
Total suspension of family reunification
Criminalization of humanitarian aid

Frequently Asked Questions

What does this mean for Cubans with pending asylum cases?

Cases remain frozen under the “adjudication hold” policy, but regime change could result in automatic approvals as refugees from communism, similar to what occurred with other countries.

Will deportations be suspended if there’s military intervention?

Historically, the United States suspends deportations to countries in active conflict. However, Trump could maintain deportations to “controlled areas” or use Guantanamo as a processing center.

How does this affect Cubans arriving by sea?

Any escalation could activate modified “wet foot, dry foot” protocols, with processing at Guantanamo instead of direct return to Cuba.

What should mixed-status families do?

Attorneys recommend documenting all legal status immediately and considering deferred action applications for urgent humanitarian cases.

Analysis: Between Hope and Fear

Trump’s threats represent a defining moment for contemporary Cuban migration. For the first time since 1959, a U.S. president openly speaks of overthrowing the Cuban government, creating hopes for change but also fears of unpredictable consequences.

Factors Favoring Change

Extreme weakness of the Cuban regime
Bipartisan consensus in Washington on pressure against Cuba
Humanitarian crisis that justifies intervention
Exile support for decisive action

Escalation Risks

Massive refugee crisis in the Florida Straits
Military reaction from Cuba’s allies (Russia, China)
Prolonged regional instability in the Caribbean
Division in the Cuban-American community

Preparing for the Unpredictable

While Trump evaluates his options, the Cuban migrant community must prepare for multiple scenarios. History suggests that dramatic geopolitical changes in Cuba always generate seismic waves in U.S. migration policy.

The question is no longer if Trump will act, but when and how. For the 300,000 Cubans in legal limbo, the coming weeks could determine not only their future in the United States, but the fate of future generations of Cuban migrants.

What do you think about Trump’s regime change threats? Do you believe they would benefit or harm the Cuban community in the United States? Share your perspective in the comments.

Putin Ratifies Strategic Military Cooperation Agreement with Cuba

Wed, 25 Mar 2026 12:05:00 GMT

Russian President Vladimir Putin has officially ratified the Intergovernmental Agreement on Military Cooperation with Cuba, a move that solidifies the strategic alliance between both nations during a time of high international tension.

The document, originally signed in March this year after intensive negotiations in Havana and Moscow, establishes the legal framework for deep collaboration in defense, security, and military training. According to official Kremlin sources, the ratification law aims to define the objectives and forms of bilateral cooperation, contributing to regional stability and the strengthening of Cuban defense capabilities.

Key Points of the Military Agreement

This convention not only formalizes the historical relationship between the two countries but also introduces modern elements of technical and strategic cooperation:

Technical Assistance: Russia will provide maintenance and modernization of the Soviet/Russian-made military equipment present on the island.
Training: Exchange of military personnel for training in Russian academies and joint exercises will be facilitated.
Regional Security: The agreement includes regular consultations on global security issues affecting both states.
Communications: Recent reports suggest the implementation of advanced communication systems for Russian and Cuban troops.

Geopolitical Context

The ratification of this agreement comes in a week marked by the announcement of dialogues between Cuba and the United States to address the island’s internal crisis. While Havana explores ways to ease tensions with Washington, it simultaneously strengthens its “armed arm” and its political loyalty to Moscow.

Experts suggest that for Russia, Cuba remains a vital strategic enclave in the Western Hemisphere, especially in the face of NATO expansion in Europe and recent military operations in Venezuela. For its part, the government of Miguel Díaz-Canel seeks the financial and military backing from Putin necessary to ensure regime stability against internal social unrest.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What does this agreement imply for Cuba’s sovereignty?

The Cuban government maintains that the agreement is based on mutual respect and equality, strengthening national defense without compromising sovereignty to foreign powers.

Does the agreement include the installation of Russian military bases in Cuba?

So far, neither side has formally confirmed the reopening of fixed military bases (like the former Lourdes spy base), although the agreement allows for a smoother technical and training presence.

How does this affect relations between Cuba and the United States?

The consolidation of a military axis with Russia is usually viewed with concern by Washington. This move could complicate the recent dialogue efforts announced by President Díaz-Canel.

Exactly what type of military aid will Cuba receive?

The aid is expected to focus on communications technology, air defense systems, and the modernization of the island’s tank and aviation fleets.

Trump Allegedly Plans Regime Change in Cuba, Reports The Atlantic

Tue, 24 Mar 2026 23:39:00 GMT

A recent report published by The Atlantic has shaken the international political landscape by revealing that Donald Trump’s administration may have a detailed plan ready to promote a regime change in Cuba. According to the article, this strategy combines extreme economic pressure with legal maneuvers and strategic political contacts to force the collapse of the current governing system on the island.

The Maximum Pressure Plan

The White House seems to be calculating that the severe economic hardships Cuba is facing—marked by an unprecedented energy crisis and skyrocketing inflation—provide the necessary leverage for Trump to achieve his goal. An administration official, quoted by The Atlantic, stated that the president feels “on a roll” after recent developments in Iran and Venezuela and is looking to complete a “triple victory” in foreign policy with a power transfer in Cuba.

What Does This Strategy Entail?

Unlike the engagement policies of past administrations, this new approach focuses on:

Economic Strangulation: Strengthening sanctions to limit any inflow of foreign currency to the Cuban government.
Legal Maneuvers: Utilizing international frameworks and U.S. laws to delegitimize Cuba’s leaders.
Political Outreach: Fostering support among international allies for a political transition.

Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel recently acknowledged in public statements that there have been exchanges between the two governments, indicating the regime’s vulnerability to pressure from Washington.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. Is this plan a military invasion? No, it is described as a strategy of “friendly takeover” or coordinated political and economic pressure, not as a direct military intervention thus far.

2. How has the Cuban government responded? Díaz-Canel has admitted to diplomatic contacts and has promised reforms, which is interpreted as an attempt to appease Washington in the face of the domestic crisis.

3. What does The Atlantic report say about other countries? The report suggests that Trump sees Cuba as the next logical step after what he perceives as successes in his policies toward Iran and Venezuela.

4. What impact does this have on Cubans on the island? The situation is uncertain, but increased economic pressure could worsen already difficult daily life while seeking to force political change.

U.S. Warns Sailing to Cuba Without Permission Could Lead to Boat Seizure
Dollar Breaks 500 Cuban Peso Barrier
Cuba Aviation Fuel Crisis and Suspended Flights
Russia Declares Cuba Situation Critical
Trump Negotiating with Cuba According to Sources

Sources: The Atlantic, CiberCuba

Cuba Would Consider Compensating for Private Properties

Tue, 24 Mar 2026 12:05:00 GMT

In an unexpected shift that could mark a turning point in the tense relations between Washington and Havana, the Cuban government has expressed its willingness to discuss compensation for the properties of U.S. citizens and companies confiscated following the victory of the Revolution in 1959.

A Historic Change in Stance

According to sources close to recent diplomatic talks, Cuban officials have put on the table the possibility of compensation through a “lump sum” payment. This issue has been one of the primary obstacles to normalizing relations for decades, bolstered by laws such as the Helms-Burton Act.

The proposal comes at a time of extreme economic strangulation on the island, characterized by constant blackouts, food shortages, and skyrocketing inflation. The openness to negotiating these claims, which amount to billions of dollars according to the U.S. Department of Justice, is seen as a desperate attempt to alleviate sanctions and attract investment.

Havana’s Conditions

However, the offer does not come without strings attached. The Cuban government maintains that any compensation agreement must also include reparations for the economic damages caused by the U.S. embargo (the blockade) for over sixty years.

Experts suggest that Cuba could propose alternative mechanisms, such as the restitution of properties through usage concessions or the deduction of mutual debts.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. What types of properties were confiscated in 1959? These included oil refineries, sugar plantations, hotels, banks, and private properties of U.S. citizens and Cubans who later acquired U.S. nationality.

2. How much do the certified claims amount to? There are nearly 6,000 claims certified by the U.S. Foreign Claims Settlement Commission (FCSC), with an original value of $1.9 billion, which today, with interest, exceed $10 billion.

3. Why is Cuba proposing this now? The island is facing its worst economic crisis in decades and is desperately seeking the lifting of sanctions and the removal of Cuba from the list of state sponsors of terrorism to regain access to the international financial system.

4. What has the U.S. government said? Washington has not issued a final official response, but it has historically maintained that resolving certified claims is a prerequisite for a full lifting of the embargo.

Sources: CiberCuba, Cuba en Miami, Periodicó Cubano.

Cuba–US — Aroma de Cuba

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Which Russian company is in charge of the project?

How much money is estimated for the restoration?

Why is the railway important for Cuba’s economy?

When will results be seen?

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How many prisoners will be released in Cuba?

Are these political or common prisoners?

Why is Cuba releasing prisoners now?

What is the current situation between Cuba and the US?

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

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Cuba Begins Releasing 2,000 Prisoners Under U.S. Pressure

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How many prisoners is Cuba releasing in total?

Are political prisoners included in this release?

Why is this release happening now?

Which crimes are excluded from this measure?

Cuba announces massive pardon for 2,010 prisoners amidst crisis

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Key points of the story:

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

1. Who will benefit from the pardon?

2. Does this pardon include the 11J political prisoners?

3. What role does the Vatican play in this?

4. When will the releases take effect?

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Guyana Becomes New Cuban Migration Route - IOM Report

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Honduras

Guatemala

Uruguay Doubles Its Migration Balance

Costa Rica: Final Destination for 94%

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Route Diversification

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Trump Demands Removal of Díaz-Canel as Negotiating Condition